Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have shown remarkable resilience in the face of geopolitical instability and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies, recording their eleventh consecutive day of positive inflows. As of June 24, these funds have attracted $588.55 million, according to data from SosoValue.
Source: SosoValue
Leading the charge was BlackRock’s IBIT, which saw inflows of $436.32 million. This increase underscores a growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin, even as the cryptocurrency hovers around $107,000 after experiencing significant volatility. Earlier this year, Bitcoin briefly peaked at $111,917 but retreated as tensions escalated in the Middle East.
The bullish momentum in ETFs coincides with Bitcoin managing to hold a critical psychological support level above $100,000, a milestone it has defended since early May.
Source: TradingView
Institutional investors are ramping up their accumulation efforts. On June 16, Strategy acquired an additional 10,100 Bitcoin for $1.05 billion, bringing its total holdings to nearly 600,000 Bitcoin.
This eleven-day inflow streak marks the ninth consecutive week of positive flows into digital asset investment products, contributing to a year-to-date total of $13.2 billion despite widespread concern regarding the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict.
Bitcoin ETFs: A Beacon for Institutional Investment Amid Geopolitical Concerns
Despite an initial sell-off alongside global equities following Israel’s airstrikes on Iran, Bitcoin’s swift recovery above $100,000 and strong ETF demand indicate that institutions are viewing Bitcoin more as a portfolio diversifier than a speculative asset.
Sergei Gorev, head of risk at YouHodler, remarked that, although gold initially attracted safe-haven investments, Bitcoin’s rebound suggests that market confidence in a prolonged Iran-Israel conflict is waning. Additionally, the declining strength of the dollar appears to favor both cryptocurrencies and precious metals.
Bitcoin has managed to stay above $100,000 since early May — but will the Israel-Iran conflict put this winning streak in danger?#Crypto #Marketshttps://t.co/XwNZGNRee7
— Finance Newso.com (@Finance Newso) June 16, 2025
The resilience among institutional players grows even more notable considering recent comments from President Trump, who condemned Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell as a “numbskull” and advocated for immediate rate cuts that could save the U.S. government $300 billion annually.
Nonetheless, the ongoing inflows into ETFs suggest that institutions are bracing for potential monetary easing while also seeking to hedge against currency devaluation. Recent data from the Producer Price Index supports the case for anticipated rate cuts later this year.
Metaplanet raised over $517M on day one of its “555 Million Plan,” signaling strong early backing for its bold Bitcoin accumulation strategy.#Metaplanet #BTC https://t.co/NJ87Y5eP22
— Finance Newso.com (@Finance Newso) June 25, 2025
Corporate interest in Bitcoin continues to gain momentum despite prevailing macroeconomic uncertainties. For instance, Anthony Pompliano’s ProCap BTC recently acquired 3,724 Bitcoin for $386 million, while Japan’s Metaplanet garnered $517.8 million on the first day of its ambitious “555 Million Plan,” seeking to amass 210,000 Bitcoin by 2027.
These developments, combined with Norway’s Green Minerals’ intention to invest $1.2 billion in Bitcoin and Trump Media’s treasury strategy of $2.3 billion, reflect a growing conviction among institutions that transcends short-term market fluctuations.
Technical Analysis Indicates Potential Bull Run Towards $112K
Bitcoin’s current technical landscape offers a promising setup that aligns with the ongoing ETF inflow momentum, with analyses from multiple timeframes suggesting a potential breakout towards new cycle highs.
The 3-hour chart reveals Bitcoin confined within a descending wedge pattern, with crucial resistance located at the “The Edge” formation around $109,000, in line with recent highs near $111,917. Additionally, support near $99,000 has been successfully maintained multiple times.
Source: MJElahifx from TradingView
Exponential moving averages indicate that the 15-period EMA at $105,459 is situated above the 60-period EMA at $104,425, suggesting a buildup of short-term upward momentum despite broader consolidation trends.
The monthly chart, analyzed by expert Merlijn TheTrader, illustrates Bitcoin’s cyclical behavior, highlighting a consistent pattern of three-year bull markets followed by one-year corrections, which has been observed with remarkable accuracy.
BITCOIN’S FINAL ACT IS HERE
3 years up. 1 year down. Repeat.
Every $BTC cycle follows this rhythm.
This time is no different.
The final parabolic phase is loading.
Don’t blink. This phase rewrites portfolios. pic.twitter.com/GB7RAXRLm5
— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) June 25, 2025
Currently, in its three-year expansion phase that began in 2022 and is anticipated to continue through 2025, Bitcoin appears well-positioned for substantial upside potential. Momentum indicators are nearing overbought territories, historically marking cycle peaks.
This cyclical perspective suggests that any short-term weakness could represent consolidation within a larger upward trajectory, with potential price targets extending to $150,000 to $200,000 based on historical trends.
A comparative analysis of the 2020 and 2025 Bitcoin cycles reveals striking parallels in price movements and momentum characteristics, with both displaying similar consolidation patterns ahead of notable upward shifts.
Buying $BTC now is like buying BTC at $20K in 2020.
I’m not saying that BTC will pull a 3x, but there will be a similar parabolic move.
In 2020-21 cycle, BTC pumped 3x in just 3 months.
This time, I’m expecting 50%-80% move within 3-4 months before a blow-off top.
Make no… pic.twitter.com/xYd5tcFgXn
— Cas Abbé (@cas_abbe) June 25, 2025
The MACD indicators depict similar patterns for both cycles, showcasing deep negative divergences during consolidation phases prior to generating significant bullish momentum. The current 2025 cycle appears to be at an analogous point of inflection as that which preceded the 2020 surge to $42,000.
Source: TehThomas from TradingView
The 4-hour chart highlights successful gap fills and Fair Value Gap testing around $102,500-103,000, alongside an “unmitigated fair value gap” within the upper resistance zone. A breakthrough above the $107,000-108,000 range could initiate algorithmic buying, pushing Bitcoin toward previous highs near $111,917 and perfectly positioning it to leverage institutional inflows, regulatory clarity from Japan’s proposed cryptocurrency tax reforms, and ongoing corporate treasury adoption.
